Saturday, November 20, 2010

A supervisor is contemplating whether or not to investigate labor efficiency variance in the Assembly Department.It will cost $ 6000 to undertake...

Let p be the probability of superwisor that investigates
the labour efficiency variance . Then the resulting cost  of investigation and
corrrection = $(6000+180000) = $24000


So the expected cost
= 24000p.


If the superwisor does not investigate the labour
efficiency variance, then the  the departmental inefficiency cost =
33000.


So the expected inefficiency cost = 33000*probabilty
that superwisor does not investigate= 33000(1-p)


Since the
question of indetermacy is when both costs are same.


24000p
= 33000(1-p)


24000p =
33000-33000p


(24000+33000)p
=33000


P =
33000/(24000+33000)


p =
33/57


p = 11/19 is the probability that superwisor
investigate.


Also the probability that the superwisor does
not investigate = 1-11/19 = 8/19

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