Let p be the probability of superwisor that investigates
the labour efficiency variance . Then the resulting cost of investigation and
corrrection = $(6000+180000) = $24000
So the expected cost
= 24000p.
If the superwisor does not investigate the labour
efficiency variance, then the the departmental inefficiency cost =
33000.
So the expected inefficiency cost = 33000*probabilty
that superwisor does not investigate= 33000(1-p)
Since the
question of indetermacy is when both costs are same.
24000p
= 33000(1-p)
24000p =
33000-33000p
(24000+33000)p
=33000
P =
33000/(24000+33000)
p =
33/57
p = 11/19 is the probability that superwisor
investigate.
Also the probability that the superwisor does
not investigate = 1-11/19 = 8/19
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