We know that if y = ax+b is a linear regression
equation of y on x, then the sum of the squared deviation , S = Sigma(Yi - aXi -b)^2.
We can minimise this squared diviation by equating the partial derivatives with respect
to b and a to zero and solve for x and b and a .
So
dabaS/db = 0 and dabaS/daba a = 0 gives to the normal equations in b and a solving which
we can determine the equation Y = aX+b. So the required normal equations are
:
summation 2( Yi - a* Xi -sigma b) = 0
and
Summation2(Yi-aXi-b)Xi = 0. Both these equations could
be simplified as:
a* summation Xi + nb = summation
Yi
a*summation Xi^2 +b summation Xi = Summation
Xi*Yi.
Solving for a from these two equations we get a
and b.
In the given case we see that the given
data could be scaled down like Ui = (Xi- 30)5 and Vi = (Yi - 310)/10.
Then
U1 = (5-30)/5= -5 , U2 = (15-30)/5=-3 ....U5 =
(60-30)/5 =12.
V1 = (190-310)/10 = -12, V2 = (250-310)10 =
-6,....,V5 = (395-310)/10 = +8.5.
So we can have the table
below:
......... Ui Vi Ui^2
Ui*Vi
......... -5 -12 25
60
......... -3 -6 09
18
......... 00 00 00
00
......... 04 04
16 16
......... 06
8.5 36
51
---------------------------------------------------
Total:
02 -5.5 86
145
---------------------------------------------------
Therefore
the normal equations for Ui and Vi are :
a*sum Ui + nb =
Sum Vi Or 2Ui+5b = -5.5................... (1)
a*sum
Ui^2+b*sum Ui = Sum Ui*Vi. Or 86a+2b = 145.....(2)
Solving
the simultaneous equations(1) and (2) we get:
a =
{145*5-(-5.5)*2}/(86*5-2*2) = 736/426 = 1.727699531
b=
(-5.5-2a)/5 = -(5.5+2(736/426))/5 =
-1.791079812.
Therefore ,
Vi
= 1.727699531Ui - 1.79107912.
Now go back
transformation or replace Ui by (Xi-30)/5 and Vi =
(Yi-310)/10.
Therefore,
(Yi
-310)/10 = 1.727699531(Xi-30)/5 - 1.79107912. Or
Yi =
3.455399062 Xi + 310 - 1.727699531*30*10/5
-17.9107912
Yi = 3.455399062Xi + 188.4272369 is the
required equation by the method of least square..
The
estimaied values of Yi 's are: for X= 5, Y = 205.70.
Or
(05, 205.70)
(15 ,
249.26)
(30 , 292.09)
(50 ,
361.20)
(60 , 395.75).
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